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Sábado, Dezembro 3, 2022

“Collapse”, análise da crise estrutural

Escrito por um colaborador de Bill Clinton, homem há várias décadas ligado Partido Democrata, embora bastante crítico de Obama, o acabado de publicar “Collapse” defende a tese de que só um “assertive democratic idealism” pode salvar o mundo de um colapso total.

Douglas E. Schoen começa por estabelecer que as elites de governo deram a primazia aos seus próprios interesses em detrimento do interesse colectivo. Em resultado, a presidência de Obama foi uma “downward spiral”, incapaz de responder aos desafios que a situação colocava, tanto no plano interno como no externo.

Exemplo dessa incapacidade de Obama é o “ruinous nuclear deal with Iran” que “has all but guaranteed Tehran will become a nuclear power”. No plano interno, Schoen destaca a “growing income inequality” e as “failing schools”… Em consequência, “the public has grown increasingly disgusted with elite institutions, especially government, but also business and the media”.

É esta perda de confiança na elite política reinante, nos seus media e nas instituições em geral que leva à ascensão e triunfo de Trump: “the problems and trends that led to Trump’s shock emergence have been festering for years…”. Mais explícito ainda: “Trump’s rise would not have been possible without the loss of trust in government and institutions.”

E pergunta final, será Trump, então, o homem certo no lugar e no tempo certos? Poderá Trump proporcionar a liderança que a América tanto precisa? Schoen tem dúvidas e dá uma resposta ambígua: “Pelo menos por enquanto, tudo se resume a Donald Trump. Ele está pronto para isso? Quererá ele sê-lo? As respostas a estas perguntas dir-nos-ão muita coisa.”

“Collapse: A World in Crisis and the Urgency of American Leadership”,

by Douglas E. Schoen – March, 2019

“Collapse” takes stock of a volatile and threatening international environment by looking at some of the underlying causes and flashpoints―the principal one being the failure of institutions and elites to respond to their constituencies and address the problems of our age.

This is a problem spanning the increased polarization that bred nationalist and populist movements, the continued failure of Western leaders to come up with effective strategies for combating authoritarian rivals like Russia and China, and the ongoing Islamist threat. 

Schoen makes clear that the indispensable ingredient for any constructive path forward is effective, engaged, and committed American leadership. This is discussed through the lens of the failed models of President Trump’s two recent predecessors, which reflected, respectively, an uncritical embrace of American power―lacking strategic insight and proportion―and an uncritical abandonment of American leadership that suggested an abject view of the U.S. moral example in the world. Instead, Schoen posits assertive democratic idealism―an embrace of U.S. moral leadership around the world but in ways that remain leavened by realism and a guiding understanding of our national interest. Whether President Trump can deliver on such a vision remains to be seen.

Editorial Reviews

At a moment when chaos and disequilibrium seem to define politics and statecraft around the globe, Schoen has given us not only a way to understand how we got here, but also a prescription for how we find our way back to a more perfect union and a calmer world. A seasoned veteran of political combat, he has advised presidents, prime ministers, governors, and mayors for decades. In his newest book, Collapse, he gives us a roadmap for a new north star for global stability.

During these anxious times, Schoen helps us imagine a path toward a more hopeful future. Part professor, part hardnosed political adviser, Schoen is the perfect tutor at the perfect time.”

This is a bracing, authoritative, and lucid account of the geopolitical crisis that is now afoot in the world and the need for clear-sighted, moral American leadership on the world stage. Schoen explains in an engaging, highly readable manner how the twentieth-century international alliances and pillars of Western democracy have been eroded―and surveys the rising threats posed by authoritarianism, extremist Islam, and other challenges.

However, he does not succumb to defeatism; instead he appeals for a new type of American leadership known as ‘assertive democratic idealism,’ arguing that this could and should be supported by Democrats and Republicans alike. At a time when so much of the debate about domestic and global politics is deeply polarized, this vision of ‘assertive democratic idealism’ offers a welcome bipartisan call to arms, in the cause of common-sense policy making―and is precisely the type of sensible, clear-headed analysis which is so badly needed in Washington today.”

A remarkably comprehensive analysis of the challenges―internal and external―that we face today. Schoen is able to write intelligently about domestic and international issues alike, weaving them into one worrisome picture of the world. But Schoen ends up, like the man he worked for, Bill Clinton, optimistic about America’s ability to help the world out of the gloom and into broader sunlit uplands. Well worth reading.”

Douglas E. Schoen has been one of the most influential Democratic campaign consultants for more than 40 years. A founding partner and principal strategist for Penn, Schoen & Berland, he is widely recognized as one of the co-inventors of overnight polling. His political clients include former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg and President Bill Clinton, and his corporate clients include AOL Time Warner, Procter & Gamble, and AT&T. Internationally, he has worked for the heads of state of over 15 countries.

He is the author of multiple books; his newest, America in the Age of Trump, was published in the summer of 2017. Schoen is a regular contributor to the Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, and various other newspaper and online publications, as well as Fox News. He is based in New York City.

Exclusivo Tornado / IntelNomics

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